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Photo: RIDHVAN SHARMA
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
United States of America Women tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Women
28 Oct 2024 · ODI
Harare Sports Club · Venue photographRecorded result
Zimbabwe more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zimbabwe started on 60%; Zimbabwe batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CR Pagydyalanot out 18 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 136* | 152 | 18 | 0 | 89.47 |
| D Dhingrastumped · Modester Mupachikwa · O Chare 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Modester Mupachikwa · b O Chare | 34 | 45 | 4 | 0 | 75.56 |
| Anika Kolancaught · Josephine Nkomo · Loryn Phiri 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josephine Nkomo · b Loryn Phiri | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| Ella Claridgebowled · Audrey Mazvishaya 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Audrey Mazvishaya | 12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
 Sindhu Sriharshanot out2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 35* |
Zimbabwe's chances ranged from 0% to 87% during the match (United States of America: 14% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 39 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 89.74 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 26 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josephine Nkomo0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 3.13 | 3 | 0 |
| Audrey Mazvishaya0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 53 | 1 | 5.89 | 2 | 0 |
| A Zimunu0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 7.80 | 7 | 0 |
| T Makusha0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 3 | 1 |
| Loryn Phiri0 maidens · 7 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 6.00 | 7 | 0 |
| O Chare0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
| B Biza0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sharne Mayers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 4.31 | 0 | 0 |
1-116 (D Dhingra, 19.4) · 2-126 (Anika Kolan, 22.3) · 3-161 (Ella Claridge, 29.5)
Recorded target: 247 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 7/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 2 | 15/0 |
| 6 | 8 | 23/0 |
| 7 | 3 | 26/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 27/0 |
| 9 | 3 | 30/0 |
| 10 | 7 | 37/0 |
| 11 | 5 | 42/0 |
| 12 | 12 | 54/0 |
| 13 | 5 | 59/0 |
| 14 | 2 | 61/0 |
| 15 | 14 | 75/0 |
| 16 | 9 | 84/0 |
| 17 | 10 | 94/0 |
| 18 | 8 | 102/0 |
| 19 | 11 | 113/0 |
| 20 | 3 | 116/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 118/1 |
| 22 | 5 | 123/1 |
| 23 | 5 | 128/2 |
| 24 | 6 | 134/2 |
| 25 | 2 | 136/2 |
| 26 | 8 | 144/2 |
| 27 | 2 | 146/2 |
| 28 | 5 | 151/2 |
| 29 | 6 | 157/2 |
| 30 | 4 | 161/3 |
| 31 | 8 | 169/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 173/3 |
| 33 | 10 | 183/3 |
| 34 | 5 | 188/3 |
| 35 | 4 | 192/3 |
| 36 | 4 | 196/3 |
| 37 | 4 | 200/3 |
| 38 | 11 | 211/3 |
| 39 | 6 | 217/3 |
| 40 | 11 | 228/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 230/3 |
| 42 | 3 | 233/3 |
| 43 | 3 | 236/3 |
| 44 | 9 | 245/3 |
| 45 | 4 | 249/3 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sindhu Sriharsha: Hong Kong Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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