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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
England tour of New Zealand · 2024/25 · Men
28 Nov 2024 · Test
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught and bowled · Matt Henry0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matt Henry | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
 Ben Duckettcaught · Matt Henry · William O’Rourke4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matt Henry · b William O’Rourke | 27 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Jacob Bethellnot out 8 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 50* | 37 | 8 | 1 | 135.14 |
 Joe Root |
| not out |
| 23* |
| 15 |
| 3 |
| 1 |
| 153.33 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 1 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tim Southee0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Henry1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 10.36 | 1 | 1 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Zak Crawley, 1.5) · 2-55 (Ben Duckett, 7.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 16 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 16 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 12 | 67/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 77/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 86/2 |
| 12 | 9 | 95/2 |
| 13 | 9 | 104/2 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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