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Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2024/25 · Women
10 Jan 2025 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Auckland started on 47%; Auckland batted first.
Auckland's chances ranged from 0% to 66% during the match (Canterbury: 34% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 10 Jan 2025, Auckland played Canterbury at Hagley Oval, Christchurch. Recorded result: Canterbury won by 9 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.