KenyaversusNigeria

17 Jul 2025 · T20

Recorded result

Kenya won by 20 runs

Kenya16.0 overs108/8 Nigeria16.0 overs88/9 Entebbe Cricket Oval ↗

Win chances before this match

Before the toss

Kenya more likely to win

65%Kenya35%Nigeria

Why

In the last 10 T20 internationals between these sides, Kenya won 7 and Nigeria won 3
On results in T20 internationals so far, Kenya rate stronger than Nigeria (1,547 vs 1,498 on our results rating)

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.