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Continental Cup · 2024 · Men
26 May 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Romania more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Romania started on 73%; Romania batted first.
Romania's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Bulgaria: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taranjeet Singhcaught · Manan Bashir · Firas Hussain 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Manan Bashir · b Firas Hussain | 62 | 31 | 9 | 2 | 200.00 |
| A Rajshekaracaught · M Gogev · Isa Zaroo 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Gogev · b Isa Zaroo | 22 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 91.67 |
| Muhammad Moizcaught and bowled · Isa Zaroo 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught and bowled · b Isa Zaroo | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 300.00 |
| V Sainicaught · Isa Zaroo · Waleed Waqar 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Isa Zaroo · b Waleed Waqar | 45 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 155.17 |
| Asif Bevinjecaught · Waleed Waqar · M Gogev 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waleed Waqar · b M Gogev | 26 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 118.18 |
| caught · Gagandeep Singh (3) · b M Gogev |
| 6 |
| 5 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 120.00 |
| KA Vimleshnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Ijaz Hussainnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 2 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danyal Raja1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| M Gogev0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Waleed Waqar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 |
| P Mishra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Isa Zaroo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Gagandeep Singh (3)0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 9.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Firas Hussain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-74 (A Rajshekara, 7.2) · 2-86 (Muhammad Moiz, 8.0) · 3-110 (Taranjeet Singh, 11.0) · 4-172 (Asif Bevinje, 17.4) · 5-184 (V Saini, 18.5) · 6-186 (S Nadigotla, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 26/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 36/0 |
| 5 | 13 | 49/0 |
| 6 | 15 | 64/0 |
| 7 | 9 | 73/0 |
| 8 | 13 | 86/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 100/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 105/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 110/3 |
| 12 | 10 | 120/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 131/3 |
| 14 | 7 | 138/3 |
| 15 | 8 | 146/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 152/3 |
| 17 | 14 | 166/3 |
| 18 | 8 | 174/4 |
| 19 | 11 | 185/5 |
| 20 | 7 | 192/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.