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Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
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Australia tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Men
25 Feb 2024 · T20
Eden Park, Auckland · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Allencaught · Mitchell Starc · Adam Zampa 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Adam Zampa | 13 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 144.44 |
 Will Youngcaught · Adam Zampa · Matthew Short2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Adam Zampa · b Matthew Short | 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 200.00 |
| Tim Seifertcaught · Josh Inglis · Spencer Johnson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Spencer Johnson | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Glenn Phillipsnot out 5 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 40* | 24 | 5 | 2 | 166.67 |
| Mark Chapmannot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 17* | 15 | 2 |
| 0 |
| 113.33 |
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Short0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 16.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Adam Zampa0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan Ellis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Will Young, 1.4) · 2-29 (Tim Seifert, 2.5) · 3-51 (Finn Allen, 5.1)
Recorded target: 126 runs in 10 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 18 | 26/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 33/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 46/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 51/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 58/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 66/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 75/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 83/3 |
| 10 | 15 | 98/3 |
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Adam Zampa: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Ish Sodhi: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Trent Boult: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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