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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Americas Region Qualifier · 2024/25 · Women
14 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 75%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 76% to 100% during the match (Brazil: 0% to 24%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingracaught and bowled · M Ribeiro 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b M Ribeiro | 52 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 118.18 |
| CR Pagydyalacaught · CS Nascimento · Laura Cardoso 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CS Nascimento · b Laura Cardoso | 18 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
| Ella Claridgecaught · CS Nascimento · L Moises 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · CS Nascimento · b L Moises | 39 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 130.00 |
| Ritu Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Anika Kolannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Ribeiro0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| L Moises0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Laura Cardoso0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 9.00 | 4 | 0 |
| NC Monteiro0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| LV Boas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| CS Nascimento0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-46 (CR Pagydyala, 7.0) · 2-108 (Ella Claridge, 15.1) · 3-127 (D Dhingra, 18.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 7 | 26/0 |
| 5 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 6 | 3 | 38/0 |
| 7 | 8 | 46/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 51/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 59/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 66/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 72/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 83/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 89/1 |
| 14 | 7 | 96/1 |
| 15 | 12 | 108/1 |
| 16 | 6 | 114/2 |
| 17 | 5 | 119/2 |
| 18 | 8 | 127/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 133/3 |
| 20 | 8 | 141/3 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Roberta Moretti Avery: WellingtonDaniel198 · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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