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Asian Cricket Council Men's Challenger Cup · 2023/24 · Men
4 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Singapore started on 41%; Singapore batted first.
Singapore's chances ranged from 0% to 50% during the match (Thailand: 50% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aritra Duttacaught · Akshaykumar Yadav · Mukesh Thakur 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Mukesh Thakur | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Rohan Rangarajanstumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · Sarawut Maliwan1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Akshaykumar Yadav · b Sarawut Maliwan | 15 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 46.88 |
| Rezza Gaznavicaught · Y Saranonnakkun · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Y Saranonnakkun · b Mukesh Thakur | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Surendran Chandramohanlbw · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mukesh Thakur | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Anish Paraamcaught · Austin Lazarus · Nopphon Senamontree1 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Austin Lazarus · b Nopphon Senamontree |
| 13 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 76.47 |
| Aman Desailbw · N Nuntarach 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b N Nuntarach | 21 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 91.30 |
|---|
| Avi Dixitlbw · Mukesh Thakur 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mukesh Thakur | 23 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| R Kalimuthunot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 16* | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
|---|
| S Banamalicaught · Mukesh Thakur · Jandre Coetzee 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mukesh Thakur · b Jandre Coetzee | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Akshay Purirun out · Akshaykumar Yadav · Mukesh Thakur 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Akshaykumar Yadav | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 7 · wides: 8 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jandre Coetzee0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Mukesh Thakur0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 4 | 5.75 | 3 | 0 |
| Nopphon Senamontree0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Chanchai Pengkumta0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Sarawut Maliwan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| N Nuntarach0 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 2 |
1-9 (Aritra Dutta, 1.1) · 2-9 (Rezza Gaznavi, 1.2) · 3-12 (Surendran Chandramohan, 2.0) · 4-40 (Anish Paraam, 9.1) · 5-44 (Rohan Rangarajan, 10.1) · 6-84 (Aman Desai, 16.1) · 7-101 (Avi Dixit, 17.3) · 8-102 (S Banamali, 18.1) · 9-115 (Akshay Puri, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 12/3 |
| 3 | 3 | 15/3 |
| 4 | 3 | 18/3 |
| 5 | 2 | 20/3 |
| 6 | 6 | 26/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 28/3 |
| 8 | 5 | 33/3 |
| 9 | 7 | 40/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 44/4 |
| 11 | 5 | 49/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 55/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 58/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 66/5 |
| 15 | 12 | 78/5 |
| 16 | 6 | 84/5 |
| 17 | 10 | 94/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 102/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 105/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 115/9 |
Rohan Rangarajan: Cricketlinks · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
