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Ireland tour of Zimbabwe · 2024/25 · Men
6 Feb 2025 · Test
Recorded result
Ireland more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tafadzwanashe Kaitanobowled · Mark Adair 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mark Adair | 14 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 70.00 |
| Ben Currancaught · Lorcan Tucker · Barry McCarthy 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Barry McCarthy | 4 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Nick Welchlbw · Matthew Humphreys 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Humphreys | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Brian Bennettcaught · Lorcan Tucker · Matthew Humphreys 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Lorcan Tucker · b Matthew Humphreys | 45 | 72 | 3 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Trevor Gwandubowled · Barry McCarthy0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b Barry McCarthy |
| 2 |
| 18 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 11.11 |
| Wesley Madheverebowled · Matthew Humphreys 8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Matthew Humphreys | 84 | 195 | 8 | 0 | 43.08 |
|---|
 Johnathan Campbellcaught and bowled · Matthew Humphreys3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Matthew Humphreys | 33 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 53.23 |
|---|
| Nyasha Mayavocaught · Paul Stirling · Matthew Humphreys 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Stirling · b Matthew Humphreys | 8 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 26.67 |
|---|
| Newman Nyamhurilbw · Matthew Humphreys 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Matthew Humphreys | 8 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 23.53 |
|---|
| Richard Ngaravabowled · Andrew McBrine 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Andrew McBrine | 14 | 39 | 1 | 0 | 35.90 |
|---|
| Blessing Muzarabaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 11.11 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Adair3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 3 | 47 | 1 | 2.47 | 0 | 0 |
| Barry McCarthy0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Humphreys7 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 28.0 | 7 | 57 | 6 | 2.04 | 0 | 0 |
 Andrew McBrine4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 23.3 | 4 | 69 | 1 | 2.94 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Young0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 2.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Curtis Campher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Ben Curran, 5.4) · 2-22 (Tafadzwanashe Kaitano, 7.0) · 3-32 (Nick Welch, 11.4) · 4-40 (Trevor Gwandu, 16.0) · 5-105 (Brian Bennett, 35.5) · 6-161 (Johnathan Campbell, 53.1) · 7-173 (Nyasha Mayavo, 61.5) · 8-189 (Newman Nyamhuri, 73.1) · 9-218 (Wesley Madhevere, 83.1) · 10-228 (Richard Ngarava, 86.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 18/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 22/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 22/2 |
| 8 | 1 | 23/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 23/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 24/2 |
| 11 | 5 | 29/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 32/3 |
| 13 | 1 | 33/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 34/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 38/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 40/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 44/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 48/4 |
| 19 | 2 | 50/4 |
| 20 | 2 | 52/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 57/4 |
| 22 | 1 | 58/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 59/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 60/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 64/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 68/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 71/4 |
| 28 | 7 | 78/4 |
| 29 | 1 | 79/4 |
| 30 | 2 | 81/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 85/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 92/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 93/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 95/4 |
| 35 | 7 | 102/4 |
| 36 | 3 | 105/5 |
| 37 | 3 | 108/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 115/5 |
| 39 | 1 | 116/5 |
| 40 | 4 | 120/5 |
| 41 | 1 | 121/5 |
| 42 | 0 | 121/5 |
| 43 | 1 | 122/5 |
| 44 | 1 | 123/5 |
| 45 | 5 | 128/5 |
| 46 | 2 | 130/5 |
| 47 | 3 | 133/5 |
| 48 | 5 | 138/5 |
| 49 | 8 | 146/5 |
| 50 | 2 | 148/5 |
| 51 | 6 | 154/5 |
| 52 | 4 | 158/5 |
| 53 | 3 | 161/5 |
| 54 | 0 | 161/6 |
| 55 | 1 | 162/6 |
| 56 | 0 | 162/6 |
| 57 | 4 | 166/6 |
| 58 | 0 | 166/6 |
| 59 | 0 | 166/6 |
| 60 | 2 | 168/6 |
| 61 | 4 | 172/6 |
| 62 | 1 | 173/7 |
| 63 | 0 | 173/7 |
| 64 | 3 | 176/7 |
| 65 | 0 | 176/7 |
| 66 | 4 | 180/7 |
| 67 | 3 | 183/7 |
| 68 | 0 | 183/7 |
| 69 | 0 | 183/7 |
| 70 | 2 | 185/7 |
| 71 | 2 | 187/7 |
| 72 | 1 | 188/7 |
| 73 | 1 | 189/7 |
| 74 | 0 | 189/8 |
| 75 | 5 | 194/8 |
| 76 | 5 | 199/8 |
| 77 | 5 | 204/8 |
| 78 | 1 | 205/8 |
| 79 | 5 | 210/8 |
| 80 | 3 | 213/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 214/8 |
| 82 | 3 | 217/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 218/8 |
| 84 | 0 | 218/9 |
| 85 | 3 | 221/9 |
| 86 | 5 | 226/9 |
| 87 | 2 | 228/10 |
Johnathan Campbell: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Harry Tector: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Paul Stirling: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Andrew Balbirnie: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Andrew McBrine: AssociateAffiliate · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
