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Photo: Gnan garra
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5 au
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
3 Jan 2024 · T20
Perth Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 70%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 65% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 35%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Shortcaught · Aaron Hardie · Lance Morris 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Aaron Hardie · b Lance Morris | 74 | 44 | 7 | 2 | 168.18 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Jason Behrendorff | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
4 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Lance Morris | 27 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 168.75 |
1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis |
| 13 |
| 10 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 130.00 |
| Thomas Kellycaught · Ashton Agar · Andrew Tye 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ashton Agar · b Andrew Tye | 29 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 138.10 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jhye Richardson · b Lance Morris | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cooper Connolly · b Lance Morris | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Harry Nielsencaught · Jason Behrendorff · Jhye Richardson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jason Behrendorff · b Jhye Richardson | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Henry Thorntoncaught · Josh Inglis · Andrew Tye 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b Andrew Tye | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| David Paynenot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Cameron Boycecaught · Andrew Tye · Jhye Richardson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andrew Tye · b Jhye Richardson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Jhye Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 9.30 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Lance Morris0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (D'Arcy Short, 2.4) · 2-65 (Chris Lynn, 7.3) · 3-91 (Adam Hose, 9.5) · 4-153 (Matthew Short, 16.0) · 5-155 (Thomas Kelly, 16.4) · 6-157 (Jamie Overton, 17.2) · 7-158 (James Bazley, 17.4) · 8-161 (Henry Thornton, 18.3) · 9-169 (Harry Nielsen, 19.1) · 10-169 (Cameron Boyce, 19.2)
Recorded target: 212 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 11 | 18/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 41/1 |
| 6 | 10 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 13 | 64/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 71/2 |
| 9 | 14 | 85/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 92/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 13 | 14 | 121/3 |
| 14 | 11 | 132/3 |
| 15 | 15 | 147/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 153/4 |
| 17 | 3 | 156/5 |
| 18 | 4 | 160/7 |
| 19 | 9 | 169/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 169/10 |
Andrew Tye: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Agar: Nic Redhead from Birmingham, UK · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Jason Behrendorff: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Bazley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.