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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
29 Dec 2025 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 62%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 62% to 100% during the match (Auckland: 0% to 38%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P Cattoncaught · XA Jetly · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · XA Jetly · b N Baird | 13 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 81.25 |
| Bella Armstrongcaught · Jess Kerr · JA Simmons 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b JA Simmons | 22 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 122.22 |
| Brooke Hallidaycaught · Maitlan Brown · N Baird 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maitlan Brown · b N Baird | 16 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Maddy Greenbowled · Jess Kerr4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 39 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 150.00 |
| Lauren Downrun out · Jess McFadyen, JA Simmons · Maitlan Brown 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jess McFadyen, JA Simmons |
| 9 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
| JO Penfoldcaught · Amelia Kerr · Maitlan Brown 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Amelia Kerr · b Maitlan Brown | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| A Lambatcaught · XA Jetly · Jess Kerr 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · XA Jetly · b Jess Kerr | 12 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| AT Huckerlbw · XA Jetly 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b XA Jetly | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Molly Penfoldnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| E Buchananbowled · XA Jetly 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b XA Jetly | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Bree Illingcaught · Maitlan Brown · XA Jetly 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maitlan Brown · b XA Jetly | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maitlan Brown0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Simmons0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 21 | 3 | 5.48 | 0 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Amelia Kerr0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-30 (Bella Armstrong, 4.1) · 2-52 (P Catton, 7.0) · 3-59 (Brooke Halliday, 8.5) · 4-76 (Lauren Down, 10.5) · 5-77 (JO Penfold, 11.0) · 6-115 (Maddy Green, 16.2) · 7-120 (A Lambat, 16.5) · 8-135 (AT Hucker, 19.2) · 9-135 (E Buchanan, 19.3) · 10-135 (Bree Illing, 19.5)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 10 | 29/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 37/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 63/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 70/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 77/5 |
| 12 | 7 | 84/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 94/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 100/5 |
| 15 | 6 | 106/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 113/5 |
| 17 | 8 | 121/7 |
| 18 | 3 | 124/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 134/7 |
| 20 | 1 | 135/10 |
Maitlan Brown: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Maddy Green: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Amelia Kerr: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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