Rajasthan RoyalsversusPunjab Kings

15 May 2024 · T20

Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Punjab Kings won by 5 wickets

Rajasthan Royals20.0 overs144/9 Punjab Kings18.5 overs145/5 Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajasthan Royals started on 59%; Rajasthan Royals batted first.

Rajasthan Royals’s chance of winning (%) · Punjab Kings is the rest

Rajasthan Royals's chances ranged from 0% to 67% during the match (Punjab Kings: 33% to 100%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.5: Avesh Khan to Shashank Singh, Shashank Singh out. Rajasthan Royals up from 30% to 46%.
2nd inns 7.6: YS Chahal to JM Bairstow, JM Bairstow out. Rajasthan Royals up from 46% to 64%.
2nd inns 17.6: Sandeep Sharma to SM Curran, six by SM Curran. Punjab Kings up from 65% to 94%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Rajasthan Royals chose to bat
Player of the match: Sam Curran
match referees: Shakti Singh
reserve umpires: R Rajesh Kannan
tv umpires: AK Chaudhary
umpires: R Pandit, MV Saidharshan Kumar

Match history & source

On 15 May 2024, Rajasthan Royals played Punjab Kings at Barsapara Cricket Stadium, Guwahati. Recorded result: Punjab Kings won by 5 wickets.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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