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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026/27 · Men
15 Oct 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Canada started on 26%; Canada batted first.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samracaught · Hammad Mirza · Jay Odedra 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Jay Odedra | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 18.18 |
| Aaron Johnsonbowled · Jay Odedra 2 fours · 3 sixes | bowled · b Jay Odedra | 33 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 165.00 |
| Samit Gohelcaught · Jatinder Singh · K Sonavale 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b K Sonavale | 67 | 85 | 5 | 0 | 78.82 |
| Ajayveer Hundalcaught · Hammad Mirza · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Hassnain Shah | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
| Aaditya Varadarajanlbw · Shakeel Ahmed 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed | 55 | 78 | 3 | 1 | 70.51 |
Canada's chances ranged from 19% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 81%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Zikria Islam · b Hassnain Shah |
| 13 |
| 21 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 61.90 |
| Hamza Tariqnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 36* | 34 | 0 | 1 | 105.88 |
|---|
| Sukhjinder Singhlbw · Hassnain Shah 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Hassnain Shah | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanacaught and bowled · Nadeem Khan (2) 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Nadeem Khan (2) | 17 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 121.43 |
|---|
| Sheel Patelcaught · Jatinder Singh · Mujibur Ali 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jatinder Singh · b Mujibur Ali | 20 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Zahid Shirzadstumped · Vinayak Shukla · Mujibur Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Vinayak Shukla · b Mujibur Ali | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 4.40 | 0 | 0 |
| Jay Odedra0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 46 | 2 | 4.60 | 1 | 0 |
| Nadeem Khan (2)0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 56 | 1 | 5.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Hassnain Shah0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 4.70 | 1 | 0 |
| K Sonavale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 2 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (YS Samra, 3.2) · 2-50 (Aaron Johnson, 7.5) · 3-60 (Ajayveer Hundal, 11.2) · 4-151 (Samit Gohel, 32.0) · 5-172 (Aaditya Varadarajan, 36.2) · 6-190 (Harsh Thaker, 40.0) · 7-196 (Sukhjinder Singh, 41.2) · 8-219 (Kaleem Sana, 44.5) · 9-256 (Sheel Patel, 49.5) · 10-256 (Zahid Shirzad, 50.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 3 | 13 | 15/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 19/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 27/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 30/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 38/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 51/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 54/2 |
| 10 | 4 | 58/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 59/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 63/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 67/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 75/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 79/3 |
| 16 | 2 | 81/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 18 | 2 | 91/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 94/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 95/3 |
| 21 | 3 | 98/3 |
| 22 | 9 | 107/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 109/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 25 | 2 | 116/3 |
| 26 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 27 | 4 | 124/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 127/3 |
| 29 | 8 | 135/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 142/3 |
| 31 | 7 | 149/3 |
| 32 | 2 | 151/4 |
| 33 | 3 | 154/4 |
| 34 | 5 | 159/4 |
| 35 | 7 | 166/4 |
| 36 | 5 | 171/4 |
| 37 | 4 | 175/5 |
| 38 | 7 | 182/5 |
| 39 | 6 | 188/5 |
| 40 | 2 | 190/6 |
| 41 | 5 | 195/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 198/7 |
| 43 | 4 | 202/7 |
| 44 | 9 | 211/7 |
| 45 | 8 | 219/8 |
| 46 | 3 | 222/8 |
| 47 | 6 | 228/8 |
| 48 | 12 | 240/8 |
| 49 | 5 | 245/8 |
| 50 | 11 | 256/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.