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Netherlands Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2024 · Men
28 Aug 2024 · T20
Sportpark Westvliet, The Hague · Venue photographRecorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 58%; Netherlands batted first.
Netherlands's chances ranged from 4% to 69% during the match (United States of America: 31% to 96%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monank Patelbowled · Kyle Klein 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kyle Klein | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
| Saiteja Mukkamallacaught · Max O'Dowd · Daniel Doram 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Max O'Dowd · b Daniel Doram | 24 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 150.00 |
| Andries Gouslbw · Zach Lion-Cachet 3 fours · 3 sixes | lbw · b Zach Lion-Cachet | 43 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 165.38 |
| Aaron Jonesbowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 13 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 92.86 |
| Nitish Kumarbowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| lbw · b Daniel Doram |
| 3 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 30.00 |
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Noah Croes · Max O'Dowd 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Noah Croes · b Max O'Dowd | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwykbowled · Aryan Dutt 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Jasdeep Singhrun out · Zach Lion-Cachet · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Zach Lion-Cachet | 12 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Yasir Mohammadbowled · Paul van Meekeren 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Paul van Meekeren | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Klein0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Doram0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Zach Lion-Cachet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4.29 | 1 | 0 |
| Max O'Dowd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Monank Patel, 2.3) · 2-46 (Saiteja Mukkamalla, 5.1) · 3-75 (Aaron Jones, 9.1) · 4-75 (Nitish Kumar, 9.4) · 5-81 (Shayan Jahangir, 11.4) · 6-97 (Harmeet Singh, 13.3) · 7-107 (Andries Gous, 14.3) · 8-111 (Shadley van Schalkwyk, 15.3) · 9-127 (Jasdeep Singh, 18.4) · 10-128 (Yasir Mohammad, 19.1)
Recorded target: 133 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 16/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 35/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 7 | 53/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 62/2 |
| 8 | 8 | 70/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 75/2 |
| 10 | 1 | 76/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 79/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 83/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 95/5 |
| 14 | 5 | 100/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 109/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 113/8 |
| 17 | 2 | 115/8 |
| 18 | 11 | 126/8 |
| 19 | 2 | 128/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 128/10 |
Zach Lion-Cachet: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
