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Photo: Yorkspotter
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
New Zealand tour of England · 2026 · Men
4 Jun 2026 · Test
Lord's · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamlbw · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gus Atkinson | 3 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Emilio Gay · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Emilio Gay · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Ollie Robinson |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Daryl Mitchellbowled · Ollie Robinson 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 12 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 52.17 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellbowled · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 19.05 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipsbowled · Josh Tongue 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 34 | 39 | 6 | 0 | 87.18 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithbowled · Josh Tongue 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 15 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
 Kyle Jamiesonnot out2 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 38* | 29 | 2 | 3 | 131.03 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkecaught · Harry Brook · Gus Atkinson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Gus Atkinson | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 5.88 |
|---|
 Matt Henrybowled · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 0 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gus Atkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 1.80 | 0 | 0 |
 Ollie Robinson3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.5 | 3 | 39 | 5 | 3.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 4.00 | 0 | 1 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 5.50 | 0 | 1 |
1-2 (Devon Conway, 1.3) · 2-2 (Kane Williamson, 1.5) · 3-2 (Rachin Ravindra, 2.0) · 4-12 (Tom Latham, 6.4) · 5-20 (Daryl Mitchell, 10.0) · 6-29 (Tom Blundell, 13.0) · 7-65 (Glenn Phillips, 20.1) · 8-82 (Nathan Smith, 23.0) · 9-108 (William O’Rourke, 28.2) · 10-113 (Matt Henry, 29.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 2/3 |
| 3 | 3 | 5/3 |
| 4 | 0 | 5/3 |
| 5 | 3 | 8/3 |
| 6 | 2 | 10/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 12/4 |
| 8 | 5 | 17/4 |
| 9 | 3 | 20/4 |
| 10 | 0 | 20/5 |
| 11 | 1 | 21/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 24/5 |
| 13 | 5 | 29/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 32/6 |
| 15 | 8 | 40/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 49/6 |
| 17 | 2 | 51/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 57/6 |
| 19 | 4 | 61/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 65/6 |
| 21 | 5 | 70/7 |
| 22 | 7 | 77/7 |
| 23 | 5 | 82/8 |
| 24 | 1 | 83/8 |
| 25 | 7 | 90/8 |
| 26 | 15 | 105/8 |
| 27 | 1 | 106/8 |
| 28 | 1 | 107/8 |
| 29 | 1 | 108/9 |
| 30 | 5 | 113/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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