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Women's T20 World Cup Qualifier · 2025/26 · Women
30 Jan 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Thailand more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 19%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 10% to 100% during the match (Thailand: 0% to 90%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Natthakan Chantamlbw · Tara Norris1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tara Norris | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
| N Chaihanbowled · Tara Norris 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Tara Norris | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Nannapat Koncharoenkailbw · AI Chudasama5 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b AI Chudasama | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 116.67 |
 Naruemol Chaiwaicaught · CR Pagydyala · Ritu Singh3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR Pagydyala · b Ritu Singh | 31 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 88.57 |
 Chanida Sutthiruangcaught · D Dhingra · Maahi Madhavan1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Dhingra · b Maahi Madhavan | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Suleeporn Laomicaught · Maahi Madhavan · Geetika Kodali0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Maahi Madhavan · b Geetika Kodali | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| S Khiaotobowled · Maahi Madhavan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Maahi Madhavan | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
|---|
| Phannita Mayacaught · L Shetty · Ritu Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · L Shetty · b Ritu Singh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Onnicha Kamchomphunot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| S Chaturongrattanastumped · Ella Claridge · Geetika Kodali 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ella Claridge · b Geetika Kodali | 11 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 110.00 |
|---|
| T Putthawongcaught · CR Pagydyala · Tara Norris 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · CR Pagydyala · b Tara Norris | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tara Norris0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Geetika Kodali1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| L Shetty0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 13.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Maahi Madhavan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| AI Chudasama0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Ritu Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Natthakan Chantam, 0.3) · 2-12 (N Chaihan, 2.4) · 3-48 (Nannapat Koncharoenkai, 9.2) · 4-61 (Chanida Sutthiruang, 11.0) · 5-72 (Suleeporn Laomi, 12.4) · 6-77 (Naruemol Chaiwai, 14.1) · 7-79 (Phannita Maya, 15.0) · 8-81 (S Khiaoto, 15.4) · 9-95 (S Chaturongrattana, 17.4) · 10-100 (T Putthawong, 19.0)
Recorded target: 129 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 4 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 6 | 22/2 |
| 6 | 13 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 41/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 46/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 53/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 61/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 67/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 73/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 77/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 79/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 82/8 |
| 17 | 11 | 93/8 |
| 18 | 3 | 96/9 |
| 19 | 4 | 100/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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