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Photo: No machine-readable author provided. FrWaters assumed (based on copyright claims).
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.5
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Caribbean Premier League · 2024 · Men
25 Sept 2024 · T20
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
Guyana Amazon Warriors started on 55%; Guyana Amazon Warriors batted first.
Guyana Amazon Warriors's chances ranged from 49% to 100% during the match (Barbados Royals: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 25 Sept 2024, Guyana Amazon Warriors played Barbados Royals at Providence Stadium, Guyana. Recorded result: Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 47 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.