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Photo: The original uploader was Moondyne at English Wikipedia.
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Women
7 Nov 2024 · T20
WACA, Perth · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 41%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 40% to 99% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 1% to 60%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 7 Nov 2024, Sydney Thunder played Brisbane Heat at WACA, Perth. Recorded result: Sydney Thunder won by 19 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.