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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 41%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 50% during the match (Lancashire: 50% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Stanley | 18 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 138.46 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Saqib Mahmood | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| BS McKinneybowled · Saqib Mahmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saqib Mahmood | 8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 72.73 |
7 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 66* | 45 | 7 | 1 | 146.67 |
| lbw · b Shadab Khan |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 175.00 |
| Kasey Aldridgecaught and bowled · Liam Livingstone 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Liam Livingstone | 10 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b Shadab Khan | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Keaton Jennings · b Shadab Khan | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Wood · b Tom Hartley | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Callum Parkinsonbowled · Saqib Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Saqib Mahmood | 8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Nathan Sowterrun out · Ben McDermott, Philip Salt · Mitchell Stanley 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ben McDermott, Philip Salt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 1 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mitchell Stanley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 6 | 0 |
| 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Alex Lees, 1.2) · 2-27 (Graham Clark, 4.1) · 3-33 (BS McKinney, 5.2) · 4-42 (Ollie Robinson, 6.2) · 5-60 (Kasey Aldridge, 9.1) · 6-71 (Brydon Carse, 11.0) · 7-82 (Ben Raine, 12.2) · 8-105 (Matthew Potts, 15.2) · 9-127 (Callum Parkinson, 18.3) · 10-141 (Nathan Sowter, 20.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 6/1 |
| 3 | 16 | 22/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 33/2 |
| 6 | 8 | 41/3 |
| 7 | 4 | 45/4 |
| 8 | 2 | 47/4 |
| 9 | 12 | 59/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 62/5 |
| 11 | 9 | 71/6 |
| 12 | 10 | 81/6 |
| 13 | 3 | 84/7 |
| 14 | 9 | 93/7 |
| 15 | 11 | 104/7 |
| 16 | 4 | 108/8 |
| 17 | 6 | 114/8 |
| 18 | 12 | 126/8 |
| 19 | 3 | 129/9 |
| 20 | 12 | 141/10 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.