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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
12 Jul 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 41%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 2% to 50% during the match (Lancashire: 50% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Philip Saltbowled · Ben Raine4 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 32 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 152.38 |
| Ben McDermottcaught · Brydon Carse · Matthew Potts 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Brydon Carse · b Matthew Potts | 11 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 137.50 |
| Liam Livingstonebowled · Nathan Sowter 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Nathan Sowter | 17 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 89.47 |
| Keaton Jenningsnot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 41* | 33 | 3 | 1 | 124.24 |
 Shadab Khancaught · Graham Clark · Brydon Carse1 fours · 1 sixes |
| caught · Graham Clark · b Brydon Carse |
| 17 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 130.77 |
| Matthew Hurstcaught · BS McKinney · Ben Raine 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · BS McKinney · b Ben Raine | 7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
| J Mooreslbw · Ben Raine 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ben Raine | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
 Tom Hartleybowled · Ben Raine0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ben Raine | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
 Luke Woodnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callum Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Brydon Carse0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 12.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Matthew Potts0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.64 | 1 | 1 |
 Ben Raine0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Sowter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Colin Ackermann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Ben McDermott, 2.3) · 2-57 (Philip Salt, 6.5) · 3-72 (Liam Livingstone, 10.0) · 4-94 (Shadab Khan, 13.1) · 5-117 (Matthew Hurst, 16.1) · 6-119 (J Moores, 16.5) · 7-129 (Tom Hartley, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 7 | 27/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 50/1 |
| 7 | 8 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 65/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 70/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 72/3 |
| 11 | 4 | 76/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 10 | 94/3 |
| 14 | 13 | 107/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 111/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 117/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 119/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 125/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 132/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 142/7 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Colin Ackermann: Dave Morton · Public domain
Alex Lees: Dave Morton · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Raine: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Potts: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Philip Salt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Graham Clark: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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