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ICC Women's T20 World Cup East Asia Pacific Qualifier · 2025 · Women
12 Sept 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Indonesia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 89%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 89% to 100% during the match (Cook Islands: 0% to 11%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M Corazoncaught · D Kataina · ZP Ikiua 9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Kataina · b ZP Ikiua | 43 | 34 | 9 | 0 | 126.47 |
| D Wulandarinot out 7 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 54* | 54 | 7 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Emily Sirscaught · ZP Ikiua · TC Mataora 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · ZP Ikiua · b TC Mataora | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| NPAN Sakarinicaught · Gabby Sullivan · ZP Ikiua 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gabby Sullivan · b ZP Ikiua | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
| NLKWR Dewibowled · A Vailoa 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b A Vailoa | 37 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 176.19 |
| NKF Rada Rani |
| not out |
| 2* |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 15 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Sullivan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| RV Auora0 maidens · 4 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 7.50 | 4 | 2 |
| S Samuels0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 1 |
| A Vailoa0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 3 | 0 |
| ZP Ikiua0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| TC Mataora0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 5 | 0 |
| T Elikana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-71 (M Corazon, 8.4) · 2-86 (Emily Sirs, 11.3) · 3-92 (NPAN Sakarini, 12.3) · 4-168 (NLKWR Dewi, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 43/0 |
| 7 | 16 | 59/0 |
| 8 | 7 | 66/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 72/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 79/1 |
| 11 | 6 | 85/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 88/2 |
| 13 | 6 | 94/3 |
| 14 | 14 | 108/3 |
| 15 | 12 | 120/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 130/3 |
| 17 | 8 | 138/3 |
| 18 | 14 | 152/3 |
| 19 | 9 | 161/3 |
| 20 | 9 | 170/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.