Gujarat GiantsversusMumbai Indians

30 Jan 2026 · T20

Recorded result

Gujarat Giants won by 11 runs

Gujarat Giants20.0 overs167/4 Mumbai Indians20.0 overs156/7 Kotambi Stadium, Vadodara ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Gujarat Giants started on 42%; Gujarat Giants batted first.

Gujarat Giants’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Gujarat Giants's chances ranged from 36% to 99% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 1% to 64%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 4.3: SFM Devine to HK Matthews, HK Matthews out. Gujarat Giants up from 50% to 63%.
2nd inns 5.6: KS Gautam to S Sajana, S Sajana out. Gujarat Giants up from 61% to 74%.
2nd inns 16.6: RS Gayakwad to AB Kaur, AB Kaur out. Gujarat Giants up from 72% to 84%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.