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Photo: Dave Morton
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
29 May 2026 · T20
Old Trafford · Venue photographRecorded result
Lancashire started on 63%; Lancashire batted first.
Lancashire's chances ranged from 1% to 64% during the match (Leicestershire: 36% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Eskinazicaught · J Moores · Tom Hartley 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Moores · b Tom Hartley | 14 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 73.68 |
 Ben Mikecaught · George Balderson · Saqib Mahmood1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · George Balderson · b Saqib Mahmood | 21 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 175.00 |
| Rishi Patelcaught · Harry Singh · Liam Livingstone 4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harry Singh · b Liam Livingstone | 40 | 27 | 4 | 2 | 148.15 |
| Nick Kellybowled · Chris Green 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Chris Green | 29 | 30 | 1 | 1 | 96.67 |
 |
| caught · Matthew Hurst · b Saqib Mahmood |
| 21 |
| 15 |
| 1 |
| 1 |
| 140.00 |
 Ben Coxcaught · Matthew Hurst · George Balderson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Hurst · b George Balderson | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Ben Greencaught · Harry Singh · Saqib Mahmood 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Singh · b Saqib Mahmood | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Liam Trevaskiscaught · Liam Livingstone · George Balderson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Livingstone · b George Balderson | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Ian Hollandnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 140.00 |
|---|
 Josh Daveynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Saqib Mahmood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Tom Hartley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| George Balderson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Liam Livingstone0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 2 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Tom Aspinwall0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.5 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-23 (Ben Mike, 2.5) · 2-55 (Stephen Eskinazi, 7.4) · 3-92 (Rishi Patel, 11.5) · 4-131 (Nick Kelly, 17.0) · 5-131 (Ashton Turner, 17.1) · 6-131 (Ben Green, 17.2) · 7-133 (Ben Cox, 18.2) · 8-134 (Liam Trevaskis, 18.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 12 | 23/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 41/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 53/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 58/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 65/2 |
| 10 | 10 | 75/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 83/2 |
| 12 | 11 | 94/3 |
| 13 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 14 | 12 | 111/3 |
| 15 | 4 | 115/3 |
| 16 | 7 | 122/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 131/4 |
| 18 | 2 | 133/6 |
| 19 | 3 | 136/8 |
| 20 | 10 | 146/8 |
Tom Hartley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Ben Mike: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Cox: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Josh Davey: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Saqib Mahmood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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