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Photo: Kieran Connellan from Hamilton, New Zealand
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; display framing may vary.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
South Africa tour of New Zealand · 2023/24 · Men
13 Feb 2024 · Test
Seddon Park, Hamilton · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Dane Piedt | 40 | 104 | 1 | 1 | 38.46 |
| Devon Conwaycaught · Clyde Fortuin · Dane Paterson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clyde Fortuin · b Dane Paterson | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Raynard van Tonder · b Dane Piedt | 43 | 108 | 7 | 0 | 39.81 |
| bowled · b Tshepo Moreki |
| 29 |
| 73 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 39.73 |
3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ruan de Swardt · b Dane Piedt | 36 | 73 | 3 | 1 | 49.32 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Dane Paterson | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipscaught · Clyde Fortuin · Dane Piedt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Clyde Fortuin · b Dane Piedt | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Clyde Fortuin, Zubayr Hamza | 10 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 35.71 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Raynard van Tonder · b Dane Paterson | 5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
3 fours · 2 sixes | stumped · Clyde Fortuin · b Dane Piedt | 33 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 122.22 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.0 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tshepo Moreki4 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 4 | 32 | 1 | 2.46 | 1 | 0 |
| Dane Piedt5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 32.3 | 5 | 89 | 5 | 2.74 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaun von Berg3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 3.08 | 0 | 0 |
| Ruan de Swardt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Devon Conway, 0.4) · 2-75 (Tom Latham, 33.3) · 3-86 (Kane Williamson, 37.4) · 4-145 (Rachin Ravindra, 57.0) · 5-157 (Tom Blundell, 61.0) · 6-162 (Glenn Phillips, 61.5) · 7-163 (Will Young, 63.3) · 8-170 (Tim Southee, 66.4) · 9-183 (Matt Henry, 70.4) · 10-211 (Neil Wagner, 77.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 1/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 5/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 11/1 |
| 6 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/1 |
| 8 | 2 | 13/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 13/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 11 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 12 | 0 | 18/1 |
| 13 | 0 | 18/1 |
| 14 | 6 | 24/1 |
| 15 | 1 | 25/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 27/1 |
| 17 | 0 | 27/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 29/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 29/1 |
| 20 | 6 | 35/1 |
| 21 | 5 | 40/1 |
| 22 | 4 | 44/1 |
| 23 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 24 | 0 | 44/1 |
| 25 | 8 | 52/1 |
| 26 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 27 | 5 | 59/1 |
| 28 | 2 | 61/1 |
| 29 | 6 | 67/1 |
| 30 | 2 | 69/1 |
| 31 | 2 | 71/1 |
| 32 | 2 | 73/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 75/1 |
| 34 | 0 | 75/2 |
| 35 | 8 | 83/2 |
| 36 | 0 | 83/2 |
| 37 | 3 | 86/2 |
| 38 | 0 | 86/3 |
| 39 | 0 | 86/3 |
| 40 | 1 | 87/3 |
| 41 | 2 | 89/3 |
| 42 | 2 | 91/3 |
| 43 | 8 | 99/3 |
| 44 | 5 | 104/3 |
| 45 | 8 | 112/3 |
| 46 | 4 | 116/3 |
| 47 | 4 | 120/3 |
| 48 | 1 | 121/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 122/3 |
| 50 | 2 | 124/3 |
| 51 | 2 | 126/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 128/3 |
| 53 | 6 | 134/3 |
| 54 | 1 | 135/3 |
| 55 | 0 | 135/3 |
| 56 | 7 | 142/3 |
| 57 | 3 | 145/4 |
| 58 | 3 | 148/4 |
| 59 | 0 | 148/4 |
| 60 | 2 | 150/4 |
| 61 | 7 | 157/5 |
| 62 | 5 | 162/6 |
| 63 | 1 | 163/6 |
| 64 | 2 | 165/7 |
| 65 | 4 | 169/7 |
| 66 | 1 | 170/7 |
| 67 | 2 | 172/8 |
| 68 | 1 | 173/8 |
| 69 | 5 | 178/8 |
| 70 | 2 | 180/8 |
| 71 | 3 | 183/9 |
| 72 | 10 | 193/9 |
| 73 | 0 | 193/9 |
| 74 | 10 | 203/9 |
| 75 | 0 | 203/9 |
| 76 | 7 | 210/9 |
| 77 | 1 | 211/9 |
| 78 | 0 | 211/10 |
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Neil Wagner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dane Paterson: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.