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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
16 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 81%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 65% to 99% during the match (Kuwait: 2% to 35%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravija Sandaruwancaught · Waseem Muhammad · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Junaid Siddique | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Clinto Antocaught · Ali Naseer · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Junaid Siddique | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Asif Khan · D Parashar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Asif Khan · b D Parashar | 21 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 105.00 |
| Muhammad Umarcaught · Junaid Siddique · Muhammad Jawadullah 5 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Junaid Siddique · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 59 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 134.09 |
| Usman Patelcaught · D Parashar · Ali Naseer 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Ali Naseer | 40 | 29 | 6 | 1 |
| 137.93 |
| Bilal Tahircaught · Ali Naseer · Junaid Siddique 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Junaid Siddique | 16 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 177.78 |
|---|
| Sayed Monibnot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 8* | 3 | 0 | 1 | 266.67 |
|---|
| Mohomad Aslamlbw · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Yasin Patelcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 11.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 3 | 5.75 | 2 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 10.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Zuhaib Zubair0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 1.0) · 2-5 (Clinto Anto, 2.4) · 3-61 (Meet Bhavsar, 9.2) · 4-124 (Usman Patel, 16.3) · 5-145 (Bilal Tahir, 18.2) · 6-153 (Muhammad Umar, 19.1) · 7-157 (Mohomad Aslam, 19.5) · 8-157 (Yasin Patel, 20.0)
Recorded target: 169 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 6/2 |
| 4 | 9 | 15/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 28/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 42/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 13 | 60/2 |
| 10 | 3 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 72/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 84/3 |
| 13 | 11 | 95/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 104/3 |
| 15 | 9 | 113/3 |
| 16 | 10 | 123/3 |
| 17 | 11 | 134/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 143/4 |
| 19 | 10 | 153/5 |
| 20 | 4 | 157/8 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
