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Photo: F ASTILY
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Major League Cricket · 2026 · Men
25 Jun 2026 · T20
Oakland Coliseum, Oakland · Venue photographRecorded result
Seattle Orcas started on 40%; Seattle Orcas batted first.
Seattle Orcas's chances ranged from 39% to 100% during the match (Washington Freedom: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Owencaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Ottniel Baartman 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Ottniel Baartman | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
 Steve Smithcaught · Ali Sheikh · Jasdeep Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Sheikh · b Jasdeep Singh | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Andries Gousbowled · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 18 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 163.64 |
| Mark Chapmancaught · Matthew Breetzke · Marcus Stoinis 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Marcus Stoinis | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 70.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Jasdeep Singh |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Jack Edwardscaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Jasdeep Singh 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Jasdeep Singh | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Obus Pienaarcaught · Matthew Breetzke · Cameron Gannon 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Matthew Breetzke · b Cameron Gannon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 166.67 |
|---|
 Marco Jansencaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Jasdeep Singh0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Jasdeep Singh | 20 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Ian Hollandcaught · Jasdeep Singh · Harmeet Singh1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jasdeep Singh · b Harmeet Singh | 26 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 136.84 |
|---|
| Amila Aponsonot out 2 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 31* | 13 | 2 | 2 | 238.46 |
|---|
| Saurabh Netravalkarcaught · Shimron Hetmyer · Cameron Gannon 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shimron Hetmyer · b Cameron Gannon | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 140.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marcus Stoinis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ottniel Baartman0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Cameron Gannon0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 6.86 | 0 | 0 |
| Dasun Shanaka0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 1 | 13.33 | 4 | 0 |
| Ali Sheikh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 18.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Steve Smith, 1.2) · 2-18 (Mitchell Owen, 2.5) · 3-31 (Andries Gous, 4.1) · 4-31 (Glenn Maxwell, 4.2) · 5-36 (Jack Edwards, 4.5) · 6-48 (Obus Pienaar, 6.3) · 7-50 (Mark Chapman, 7.2) · 8-90 (Ian Holland, 12.3) · 9-104 (Marco Jansen, 14.0) · 10-139 (Saurabh Netravalkar, 16.2)
Recorded target: 228 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 19/2 |
| 4 | 12 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 9 | 40/5 |
| 6 | 2 | 42/5 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/6 |
| 8 | 5 | 54/7 |
| 9 | 3 | 57/7 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/7 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/7 |
| 12 | 18 | 89/7 |
| 13 | 10 | 99/8 |
| 14 | 5 | 104/9 |
| 15 | 23 | 127/9 |
| 16 | 6 | 133/9 |
| 17 | 6 | 139/10 |
Marco Jansen: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Marcus Stoinis: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Ian Holland: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shimron Hetmyer: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Glenn Maxwell: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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