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Gulf T20I Championship · 2024/25 · Men
21 Dec 2024 · T20
Dubai International Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
United Arab Emirates more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 77%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 13% to 98% during the match (Kuwait: 2% to 87%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clinto Antolbw · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Junaid Siddique | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 233.33 |
| Ravija Sandaruwancaught · SS Kang · D Parashar 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · SS Kang · b D Parashar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Meet Bhavsarcaught · Nilansh Keswani · Muhammad Jawadullah 6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Nilansh Keswani · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 72 | 54 | 6 | 3 | 133.33 |
| Muhammad Umarcaught · Rahul Chopra · SS Kang 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Rahul Chopra · b SS Kang | 19 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 95.00 |
| Usman Patelcaught · Waseem Muhammad · SS Kang 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b SS Kang | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Mohomad Aslamrun out · Waseem Muhammad · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| run out · Waseem Muhammad |
| 3 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 75.00 |
| Bilal Tahircaught · D Parashar · Ali Naseer 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D Parashar · b Ali Naseer | 16 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 160.00 |
|---|
| Sayed Monibcaught · T Suri · Ali Naseer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · T Suri · b Ali Naseer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Adnan Idreesrun out · T Suri, Rahul Chopra · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · T Suri, Rahul Chopra | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Yasin Patelnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 15* | 8 | 2 | 1 | 187.50 |
|---|
| Mohamed Shafeeqbowled · Muhammad Jawadullah 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Muhammad Jawadullah | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
| D Parashar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Muhammad Jawadullah0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 28 | 2 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| SS Kang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Nilansh Keswani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-8 (Clinto Anto, 0.4) · 2-15 (Ravija Sandaruwan, 1.3) · 3-61 (Muhammad Umar, 8.2) · 4-71 (Usman Patel, 10.3) · 5-76 (Mohomad Aslam, 11.3) · 6-108 (Bilal Tahir, 15.2) · 7-108 (Sayed Monib, 15.3) · 8-113 (Adnan Idrees, 16.2) · 9-151 (Meet Bhavsar, 19.2) · 10-151 (Mohamed Shafeeq, 19.3)
Recorded target: 154 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/1 |
| 2 | 7 | 17/2 |
| 3 | 11 | 28/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 29/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 2 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 61/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 64/3 |
| 10 | 7 | 71/3 |
| 11 | 2 | 73/4 |
| 12 | 10 | 83/5 |
| 13 | 10 | 93/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 99/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 108/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 110/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 117/8 |
| 18 | 8 | 125/8 |
| 19 | 21 | 146/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 151/10 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
