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ICC Women's T20 World Cup Americas Region Qualifier · 2024/25 · Women
13 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
United States of America more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 69%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 50% to 100% during the match (Argentina: 0% to 51%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Dhingrarun out · M Castineiras · A Galan 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · M Castineiras | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Gargi Bhoglecaught · A Galan · M Martinez 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Galan · b M Martinez | 26 | 41 | 1 | 0 | 63.41 |
| Ella Claridgecaught · M Lollo · L Taylor 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Lollo · b L Taylor | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 150.00 |
| CR Pagydyalanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 36* | 43 | 0 | 0 | 83.72 |
| Anika Kolancaught · M Lollo · C Sosa 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Lollo · b C Sosa | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| not out |
| 29* |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 145.00 |
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 11 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A Galan0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 3 | 0 |
| L Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| A Stocks0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 3 | 0 |
| C Sosa0 maidens · 4 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 4 | 1 |
| M Martinez0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 1 |
1-2 (D Dhingra, 0.5) · 2-8 (Ella Claridge, 1.4) · 3-61 (Gargi Bhogle, 11.5) · 4-76 (Anika Kolan, 14.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 9/2 |
| 4 | 3 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 7 | 26/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 40/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 44/2 |
| 10 | 7 | 51/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 57/2 |
| 12 | 5 | 62/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 66/3 |
| 14 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 79/4 |
| 16 | 10 | 89/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 95/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 106/4 |
| 19 | 8 | 114/4 |
| 20 | 10 | 124/4 |
Tara Norris: Tukpuki · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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