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Photo: Marc Dalmulder from Hamlyn Terrace, Australia
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2023/24 · Men
24 Jan 2024 · T20
Sydney Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Brisbane Heat started on 41%; Brisbane Heat batted first.
Brisbane Heat's chances ranged from 28% to 100% during the match (Sydney Sixers: 0% to 72%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hughescaught · Matt Renshaw · Michael Neser 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Renshaw · b Michael Neser | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Jack Edwardsbowled · Spencer Johnson 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 16 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 160.00 |
| Josh Philippecaught · Michael Neser · Spencer Johnson 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael Neser · b Spencer Johnson | 23 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 104.55 |
 Moisés Henriquescaught · Michael Neser · Paul Walter1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael Neser · b Paul Walter | 25 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 92.59 |
| Jordan Silkstumped · James Peirson · Mitchell Swepson0 fours · 0 sixes |
| stumped · James Peirson · b Mitchell Swepson |
| 0 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Joel Daviescaught · JS Buckingham · Mitchell Swepson 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · JS Buckingham · b Mitchell Swepson | 15 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Hayden Kerrcaught and bowled · Spencer Johnson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · JS Buckingham · Spencer Johnson 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JS Buckingham · b Spencer Johnson | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Sean Abbottcaught · Paul Walter · Xavier Bartlett1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Xavier Bartlett | 16 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 145.45 |
|---|
 Todd Murphynot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Stephen O'Keefecaught · Paul Walter · Xavier Bartlett0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Xavier Bartlett | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Michael Neser0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Paul Walter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (Daniel Hughes, 0.3) · 2-34 (Jack Edwards, 4.0) · 3-56 (Josh Philippe, 8.3) · 4-57 (Jordan Silk, 9.2) · 5-70 (Moisés Henriques, 11.3) · 6-73 (Ben Dwarshuis, 12.2) · 7-85 (Joel Davies, 13.4) · 8-94 (Hayden Kerr, 14.5) · 9-112 (Sean Abbott, 17.2) · 10-112 (Stephen O'Keefe, 17.3)
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 56/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 64/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 73/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 75/6 |
| 14 | 11 | 86/7 |
| 15 | 9 | 95/8 |
| 16 | 3 | 98/8 |
| 17 | 8 | 106/8 |
| 18 | 6 | 112/10 |
Moisés Henriques: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
James Peirson: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Hayden Kerr: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Stephen O'Keefe: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sean Abbott: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Todd Murphy: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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