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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2026 · Men
12 Apr 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Scotland more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Namibia started on 36%; Namibia batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Munseylbw · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Finlay McCreathlbw · Ruben Trumpelmann 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ruben Trumpelmann | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 13.33 |
| Brandon McMullenretired hurt · Ruben Trumpelmann 9 fours · 4 sixes | retired hurt | 100* | 92 | 9 | 4 | 108.70 |
| Richie Berringtonlbw · WP Myburgh 3 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b WP Myburgh | 43 | 59 | 3 | 2 | 72.88 |
 Mark Wattnot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 27* | 41 | 2 | 1 | 65.85 |
Namibia's chances ranged from 0% to 38% during the match (Scotland: 62% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| Matty Crossnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 14* |
| 19 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 73.68 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruben Trumpelmann1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 53 | 2 | 5.30 | 2 | 0 |
| JJ Smit2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 2.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Brassell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| M Heingo1 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 5.86 | 5 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| WP Myburgh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (George Munsey, 0.2) · 2-21 (Finlay McCreath, 6.2) · 3-133 (Richie Berrington, 26.0)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 3 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 8/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 21/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 24/2 |
| 8 | 0 | 24/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 27/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 36/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 38/2 |
| 13 | 10 | 48/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 16 | 9 | 67/2 |
| 17 | 1 | 68/2 |
| 18 | 9 | 77/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 83/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 85/2 |
| 21 | 9 | 94/2 |
| 22 | 4 | 98/2 |
| 23 | 4 | 102/2 |
| 24 | 9 | 111/2 |
| 25 | 10 | 121/2 |
| 26 | 12 | 133/3 |
| 27 | 6 | 139/3 |
| 28 | 11 | 150/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 151/3 |
| 30 | 7 | 158/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 158/3 |
| 32 | 7 | 165/3 |
| 33 | 2 | 167/3 |
| 34 | 2 | 169/3 |
| 35 | 0 | 169/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 172/3 |
| 37 | 9 | 181/3 |
| 38 | 18 | 199/3 |
Mark Watt: Dave Morton · Public domain
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
