Royal Challengers BengaluruversusDelhi Capitals

18 Apr 2026 · T20

M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 6 wickets

Royal Challengers Bengaluru20.0 overs175/8 Delhi Capitals19.5 overs179/4 M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Royal Challengers Bengaluru started on 59%; Royal Challengers Bengaluru batted first.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru’s chance of winning (%) · Delhi Capitals is the rest

Royal Challengers Bengaluru's chances ranged from 5% to 80% during the match (Delhi Capitals: 20% to 95%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 10.1: KH Pandya to KL Rahul, KL Rahul out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 35% to 55%.
2nd inns 19.3: R Shepherd to DA Miller, six by DA Miller. Delhi Capitals up from 23% to 58%.
2nd inns 19.4: R Shepherd to DA Miller, six by DA Miller. Delhi Capitals up from 58% to 95%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru175/8 Delhi Capitals179/4

Innings 1