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Photo: HLloyd8
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South Africa tour of England · 2025 · Men
10 Sept 2025 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
On 10 Sept 2025, South Africa played England at Sophia Gardens, Cardiff. Recorded result: South Africa won by 14 runs.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.