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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
31 May 2026 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Warwickshire started on 50%; Warwickshire batted first.
Warwickshire's chances ranged from 1% to 82% during the match (Northamptonshire: 18% to 99%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Vasconcelosrun out · Ed Barnard, Kai Smith · Chris Woakes 3 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Ed Barnard, Kai Smith | 27 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 180.00 |
 Chris Lynnnot out13 fours · 5 sixes | not out | 115* | 59 | 13 | 5 | 194.92 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Rob Yates · Usman Tariq 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rob Yates · b Usman Tariq | 19 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 90.48 |
 David Willeybowled · Jordan Thompson3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Jordan Thompson | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 209.09 |
| Justin Broad |
| bowled · b Jordan Thompson |
| 14 |
| 7 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 200.00 |
| Lewis McManusnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Oliver Hannon-Dalby0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 15.90 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan Thompson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Ed Barnard0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usman Tariq0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
| TC Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-69 (Ricardo Vasconcelos, 6.0) · 2-129 (Nathan McSweeney, 13.1) · 3-166 (David Willey, 16.2) · 4-203 (Justin Broad, 18.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 21/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 35/0 |
| 4 | 17 | 52/0 |
| 5 | 10 | 62/0 |
| 6 | 7 | 69/1 |
| 7 | 10 | 79/1 |
| 8 | 5 | 84/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 90/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 102/1 |
| 11 | 7 | 109/1 |
| 12 | 14 | 123/1 |
| 13 | 6 | 129/1 |
| 14 | 11 | 140/2 |
| 15 | 19 | 159/2 |
| 16 | 6 | 165/2 |
| 17 | 13 | 178/3 |
| 18 | 15 | 193/3 |
| 19 | 11 | 204/4 |
| 20 | 5 | 209/4 |
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Scrimshaw: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Sanderson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oliver Hannon-Dalby: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Willey: Whatisthefrequencykenneth · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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