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Myanmar Women tour of Bhutan · 2024/25 · Women
22 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 46%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 0% to 58% during the match (Myanmar: 42% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N Chodenrun out · TT Aung · HH Aung 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · TT Aung | 32 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 91.43 |
| K Demalbw · Zon Lin 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Zon Lin | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| D Wangmorun out · ZL Win · Zon Lin 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · ZL Win | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 120.00 |
| Y Chodencaught · Thae Thae Po · ZL Win 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Thae Thae Po · b ZL Win | 18 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 72.00 |
| T Zangmocaught and bowled · HH Aung 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b HH Aung | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| S Chodenstumped · Thae Thae Po · TT Soe1 fours · 0 sixes |
| stumped · Thae Thae Po · b TT Soe |
| 10 |
| 17 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 58.82 |
| Sonamcaught · TT Aung · HH Aung 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · TT Aung · b HH Aung | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Anju Gurungnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| R Chodennot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 15 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zon Lin0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 9 | 0 |
| ZT Kyaw0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| ZL Thoon0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 3.75 | 2 | 0 |
| ZL Win1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 3 | 0 |
| TT Soe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
| HH Aung0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-1 (K Dema, 0.2) · 2-14 (D Wangmo, 2.2) · 3-53 (Y Choden, 8.2) · 4-70 (T Zangmo, 13.3) · 5-76 (N Choden, 15.1) · 6-90 (Sonam, 17.5) · 7-95 (S Choden, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/1 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 17/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 31/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 41/2 |
| 6 | 6 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 50/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 0 | 53/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 13 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 70/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 16 | 6 | 81/5 |
| 17 | 3 | 84/5 |
| 18 | 7 | 91/6 |
| 19 | 2 | 93/6 |
| 20 | 4 | 97/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.