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New Zealand tour of India · 2024/25 · Men
24 Oct 2024 · Test
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune · Venue photographRecorded result
India more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tom Lathamlbw · Washington Sundar10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 86 | 133 | 10 | 0 | 64.66 |
| Devon Conwaylbw · Washington Sundar 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 17 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 68.00 |
 Will Younglbw · Ravichandran Ashwin2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 23 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 82.14 |
 Rachin Ravindra |
| bowled · b Washington Sundar |
| 9 |
| 13 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 69.23 |
| Daryl Mitchellcaught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · Washington Sundar 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yashasvi Jaiswal · b Washington Sundar | 18 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 78.26 |
|---|
 Tom Blundellbowled · Ravindra Jadeja3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ravindra Jadeja | 41 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 49.40 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipsnot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 48* | 82 | 4 | 2 | 58.54 |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Jasprit Bumrah · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jasprit Bumrah · b Ravindra Jadeja | 4 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
 Tim Southeecaught · Rohit Sharma · Ravichandran Ashwin0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rohit Sharma · b Ravichandran Ashwin | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Ajaz Patelcaught · Washington Sundar · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Washington Sundar · b Ravindra Jadeja | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 8.33 |
|---|
 William O’Rourkerun out · Washington Sundar, Ravindra Jadeja · Ravindra Jadeja0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Washington Sundar, Ravindra Jadeja | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ravichandran Ashwin2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 25.0 | 2 | 97 | 2 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 56 | 4 | 2.95 | 0 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja3 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 19.4 | 3 | 72 | 3 | 3.66 | 0 | 2 |
 Jasprit Bumrah1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 4.17 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Devon Conway, 9.2) · 2-78 (Will Young, 18.3) · 3-89 (Rachin Ravindra, 21.5) · 4-123 (Daryl Mitchell, 29.2) · 5-183 (Tom Latham, 44.4) · 6-231 (Tom Blundell, 59.3) · 7-237 (Mitchell Santner, 63.5) · 8-238 (Tim Southee, 64.3) · 9-241 (Ajaz Patel, 67.3) · 10-255 (William O’Rourke, 69.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 23/0 |
| 5 | 1 | 24/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 25/0 |
| 7 | 4 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 33/0 |
| 9 | 1 | 34/0 |
| 10 | 3 | 37/1 |
| 11 | 9 | 46/1 |
| 12 | 3 | 49/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 57/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 58/1 |
| 15 | 6 | 64/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 66/1 |
| 17 | 10 | 76/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 78/1 |
| 19 | 1 | 79/2 |
| 20 | 6 | 85/2 |
| 21 | 2 | 87/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 90/3 |
| 23 | 6 | 96/3 |
| 24 | 4 | 100/3 |
| 25 | 6 | 106/3 |
| 26 | 6 | 112/3 |
| 27 | 2 | 114/3 |
| 28 | 3 | 117/3 |
| 29 | 6 | 123/3 |
| 30 | 1 | 124/4 |
| 31 | 2 | 126/4 |
| 32 | 7 | 133/4 |
| 33 | 5 | 138/4 |
| 34 | 3 | 141/4 |
| 35 | 6 | 147/4 |
| 36 | 7 | 154/4 |
| 37 | 9 | 163/4 |
| 38 | 4 | 167/4 |
| 39 | 1 | 168/4 |
| 40 | 6 | 174/4 |
| 41 | 3 | 177/4 |
| 42 | 0 | 177/4 |
| 43 | 2 | 179/4 |
| 44 | 3 | 182/4 |
| 45 | 1 | 183/5 |
| 46 | 3 | 186/5 |
| 47 | 5 | 191/5 |
| 48 | 2 | 193/5 |
| 49 | 2 | 195/5 |
| 50 | 2 | 197/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 198/5 |
| 52 | 0 | 198/5 |
| 53 | 0 | 198/5 |
| 54 | 1 | 199/5 |
| 55 | 10 | 209/5 |
| 56 | 5 | 214/5 |
| 57 | 4 | 218/5 |
| 58 | 1 | 219/5 |
| 59 | 8 | 227/5 |
| 60 | 4 | 231/6 |
| 61 | 1 | 232/6 |
| 62 | 0 | 232/6 |
| 63 | 3 | 235/6 |
| 64 | 2 | 237/7 |
| 65 | 1 | 238/8 |
| 66 | 2 | 240/8 |
| 67 | 1 | 241/8 |
| 68 | 0 | 241/9 |
| 69 | 7 | 248/9 |
| 70 | 7 | 255/10 |
Jasprit Bumrah: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Ajaz Patel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Rohit Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ravichandran Ashwin: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 3.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Tim Southee: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Virat Kohli: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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