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Women's Continental Cup · 2025/26 · Women
12 Oct 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 74%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 67% to 100% during the match (Bulgaria: 0% to 33%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Goradcaught · Tanaya Dissanayake · Katrin Srandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tanaya Dissanayake · b Katrin Srandeva | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| A Rautelacaught · V Nikolova · Stanislava Sarandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Nikolova · b Stanislava Sarandeva | 7 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 38.89 |
| Ayesha Hasancaught · Stanislava Sarandeva · D Ruynekova 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Stanislava Sarandeva · b D Ruynekova | 28 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 164.71 |
| Nayab Razwancaught · V Nikolova · Stanislava Sarandeva 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · V Nikolova · b Stanislava Sarandeva | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
| R Immadinot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 24* | 34 | 2 | 0 | 70.59 |
| not out |
| 22* |
| 39 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 56.41 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 63 · noballs: 5 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrin Srandeva0 maidens · 7 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 7 | 1 |
| Tanaya Dissanayake0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 3.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Stanislava Sarandeva0 maidens · 9 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 9 | 0 |
| D Ruynekova0 maidens · 18 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 1 | 9.50 | 18 | 1 |
| V Atanasova0 maidens · 20 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15.00 | 20 | 0 |
| N Toleva0 maidens · 9 wides · 3 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 10.50 | 9 | 3 |
1-7 (AS Gorad, 2.2) · 2-47 (Ayesha Hasan, 7.1) · 3-55 (Nayab Razwan, 8.2) · 4-56 (A Rautela, 8.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 17/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 43/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 47/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 55/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 58/4 |
| 10 | 11 | 69/4 |
| 11 | 7 | 76/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 84/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 92/4 |
| 14 | 19 | 111/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 117/4 |
| 16 | 1 | 118/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 129/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 133/4 |
| 19 | 14 | 147/4 |
| 20 | 13 | 160/4 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.