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Switzerland tour of Luxembourg · 2025 · Men
21 Jun 2025 · T20
Pierre Werner Cricket Ground, Walferdange · Venue photographRecorded result
Switzerland more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Switzerland started on 57%; Switzerland batted first.
Switzerland's chances ranged from 28% to 99% during the match (Luxembourg: 1% to 73%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKS Gillstumped · Ahmed Hassan · H Deshan 5 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Ahmed Hassan · b H Deshan | 40 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 117.65 |
| Vivek Dixitcaught · Khalid Niazi · Ali Nayyer 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khalid Niazi · b Ali Nayyer | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| A Manepallistumped · Ahmed Hassan · Diyon Johnson 8 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Ahmed Hassan · b Diyon Johnson | 57 | 50 | 8 | 1 | 114.00 |
| V Vijhbowled · Ali Nayyer 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Nayyer | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 114.29 |
| Anoop Orsunot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 30* | 22 | 3 | 0 | 136.36 |
| Kamal Soukhiya |
| caught · Khalid Niazi · b Ali Nayyer |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Mayank Nagayachnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 4 | 2 | 0 | 225.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Nayyer0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 4.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Sheraz Sirwari0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Diyon Johnson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| K Fletcher0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| NK Aneesh Kumar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Khalid Niazi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| M Stanikzai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| H Deshan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Vivek Dixit, 0.5) · 2-108 (SKS Gill, 14.0) · 3-108 (A Manepalli, 14.1) · 4-139 (V Vijh, 18.1) · 5-141 (Kamal Soukhiya, 18.4)
Recorded target: 169 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 4 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 11 | 33/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 39/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/1 |
| 9 | 9 | 55/1 |
| 10 | 7 | 62/1 |
| 11 | 14 | 76/1 |
| 12 | 11 | 87/1 |
| 13 | 12 | 99/1 |
| 14 | 9 | 108/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 113/3 |
| 16 | 11 | 124/3 |
| 17 | 9 | 133/3 |
| 18 | 6 | 139/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 145/5 |
| 20 | 12 | 157/5 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.