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Photo: Madmack
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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
3 Jul 2025 · Test
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, Grenada · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Anderson Phillip | 25 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 67.57 |
2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Alzarri Joseph | 16 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 55.17 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Roston Chase · b Jayden Seales | 26 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 70.27 |
| caught · Anderson Phillip · b Alzarri Joseph |
| 3 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Shamar Joseph | 29 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 67.44 |
|---|
6 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Keacy Carty, Shai Hope | 60 | 115 | 6 | 1 | 52.17 |
|---|
10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Kraigg Brathwaite · b Justin Greaves | 63 | 81 | 10 | 1 | 77.78 |
|---|
3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alzarri Joseph | 17 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 85.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Jayden Seales | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shai Hope · b Alzarri Joseph | 11 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 64.71 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 10* | 11 | 1 | 0 | 90.91 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 0 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 3 | 45 | 2 | 3.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 15.0 | 2 | 63 | 1 | 4.20 | 0 | 1 |
| Alzarri Joseph3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 15.5 | 3 | 61 | 4 | 3.85 | 0 | 1 |
| Anderson Phillip1 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 3.83 | 0 | 1 |
| Justin Greaves0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 35 | 1 | 5.83 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
1-47 (Usman Khawaja, 10.3) · 2-47 (Sam Konstas, 11.1) · 3-50 (Steve Smith, 12.5) · 4-93 (Cameron Green, 23.0) · 5-110 (Travis Head, 26.3) · 6-222 (Alex Carey, 51.2) · 7-247 (Pat Cummins, 56.4) · 8-256 (Mitchell Starc, 59.1) · 9-267 (Beau Webster, 64.1) · 10-286 (Nathan Lyon, 66.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 12/0 |
| 6 | 4 | 16/0 |
| 7 | 6 | 22/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 30/0 |
| 9 | 9 | 39/0 |
| 10 | 2 | 41/0 |
| 11 | 6 | 47/1 |
| 12 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 13 | 3 | 51/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 56/3 |
| 15 | 5 | 61/3 |
| 16 | 0 | 61/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 62/3 |
| 18 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 73/3 |
| 20 | 5 | 78/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 83/3 |
| 22 | 7 | 90/3 |
| 23 | 3 | 93/4 |
| 24 | 3 | 96/4 |
| 25 | 6 | 102/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 106/4 |
| 27 | 8 | 114/5 |
| 28 | 6 | 120/5 |
| 29 | 4 | 124/5 |
| 30 | 5 | 129/5 |
| 31 | 6 | 135/5 |
| 32 | 6 | 141/5 |
| 33 | 0 | 141/5 |
| 34 | 4 | 145/5 |
| 35 | 6 | 151/5 |
| 36 | 4 | 155/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 159/5 |
| 38 | 4 | 163/5 |
| 39 | 8 | 171/5 |
| 40 | 5 | 176/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 176/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 180/5 |
| 43 | 5 | 185/5 |
| 44 | 6 | 191/5 |
| 45 | 6 | 197/5 |
| 46 | 6 | 203/5 |
| 47 | 0 | 203/5 |
| 48 | 6 | 209/5 |
| 49 | 4 | 213/5 |
| 50 | 8 | 221/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 222/5 |
| 52 | 1 | 223/6 |
| 53 | 3 | 226/6 |
| 54 | 8 | 234/6 |
| 55 | 4 | 238/6 |
| 56 | 8 | 246/6 |
| 57 | 5 | 251/7 |
| 58 | 2 | 253/7 |
| 59 | 3 | 256/7 |
| 60 | 2 | 258/8 |
| 61 | 0 | 258/8 |
| 62 | 0 | 258/8 |
| 63 | 0 | 258/8 |
| 64 | 8 | 266/8 |
| 65 | 7 | 273/9 |
| 66 | 7 | 280/9 |
| 67 | 6 | 286/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.