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Australia tour of West Indies · 2025 · Men
3 Jul 2025 · Test
National Cricket Stadium, St George's, Grenada · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kraigg Brathwaitecaught and bowled · Josh Hazlewood0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Josh Hazlewood | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| John Campbellcaught · Mitchell Starc · Beau Webster 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Starc · b Beau Webster | 40 | 52 | 5 | 1 | 76.92 |
| Keacy Cartycaught and bowled · Pat Cummins 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Pat Cummins | 6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Brandon Kingcaught · Alex Carey · Nathan Lyon 8 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Nathan Lyon | 75 | 108 | 8 | 3 | 69.44 |
 Roston Chaselbw · Josh Hazlewood1 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Josh Hazlewood | 16 | 39 | 1 | 1 | 41.03 |
|---|
 Shai Hopebowled · Pat Cummins2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Pat Cummins | 21 | 51 | 2 | 0 | 41.18 |
|---|
| Justin Greavescaught · Alex Carey · Nathan Lyon 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Carey · b Nathan Lyon | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Alzarri Josephcaught · Cameron Green · Nathan Lyon 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Cameron Green · b Nathan Lyon | 27 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 55.10 |
|---|
| Shamar Josephbowled · Mitchell Starc 0 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Mitchell Starc | 29 | 41 | 0 | 2 | 70.73 |
|---|
| Anderson Phillipcaught and bowled · Travis Head 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Travis Head | 10 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Sealesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 34 | 0 | 0 | 20.59 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 11 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mitchell Starc1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 13.0 | 1 | 48 | 1 | 3.69 | 0 | 0 |
 Josh Hazlewood4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 4 | 43 | 2 | 3.07 | 0 | 0 |
 Pat Cummins2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 16.0 | 2 | 46 | 2 | 2.88 | 0 | 0 |
 Beau Webster4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 4 | 17 | 1 | 1.70 | 0 | 0 |
 Nathan Lyon2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 19.0 | 2 | 75 | 3 | 3.95 | 0 | 0 |
 Travis Head0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Kraigg Brathwaite, 1.5) · 2-40 (Keacy Carty, 8.2) · 3-64 (John Campbell, 15.2) · 4-111 (Roston Chase, 28.4) · 5-169 (Shai Hope, 44.4) · 6-169 (Brandon King, 45.2) · 7-174 (Justin Greaves, 48.0) · 8-225 (Alzarri Joseph, 59.3) · 9-237 (Shamar Joseph, 62.3) · 10-253 (Anderson Phillip, 73.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 4 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 15/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 26/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 35/1 |
| 8 | 4 | 39/1 |
| 9 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 11 | 0 | 45/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 48/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 52/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 57/2 |
| 15 | 7 | 64/2 |
| 16 | 0 | 64/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 68/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 68/3 |
| 19 | 1 | 69/3 |
| 20 | 1 | 70/3 |
| 21 | 8 | 78/3 |
| 22 | 6 | 84/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 86/3 |
| 24 | 5 | 91/3 |
| 25 | 1 | 92/3 |
| 26 | 1 | 93/3 |
| 27 | 8 | 101/3 |
| 28 | 9 | 110/3 |
| 29 | 1 | 111/4 |
| 30 | 0 | 111/4 |
| 31 | 4 | 115/4 |
| 32 | 1 | 116/4 |
| 33 | 8 | 124/4 |
| 34 | 1 | 125/4 |
| 35 | 5 | 130/4 |
| 36 | 6 | 136/4 |
| 37 | 2 | 138/4 |
| 38 | 7 | 145/4 |
| 39 | 5 | 150/4 |
| 40 | 0 | 150/4 |
| 41 | 3 | 153/4 |
| 42 | 7 | 160/4 |
| 43 | 3 | 163/4 |
| 44 | 6 | 169/4 |
| 45 | 0 | 169/5 |
| 46 | 1 | 170/6 |
| 47 | 2 | 172/6 |
| 48 | 2 | 174/7 |
| 49 | 4 | 178/7 |
| 50 | 3 | 181/7 |
| 51 | 1 | 182/7 |
| 52 | 3 | 185/7 |
| 53 | 1 | 186/7 |
| 54 | 9 | 195/7 |
| 55 | 4 | 199/7 |
| 56 | 6 | 205/7 |
| 57 | 7 | 212/7 |
| 58 | 7 | 219/7 |
| 59 | 6 | 225/7 |
| 60 | 0 | 225/8 |
| 61 | 1 | 226/8 |
| 62 | 10 | 236/8 |
| 63 | 1 | 237/9 |
| 64 | 2 | 239/9 |
| 65 | 3 | 242/9 |
| 66 | 1 | 243/9 |
| 67 | 0 | 243/9 |
| 68 | 4 | 247/9 |
| 69 | 0 | 247/9 |
| 70 | 3 | 250/9 |
| 71 | 0 | 250/9 |
| 72 | 2 | 252/9 |
| 73 | 0 | 252/9 |
| 74 | 1 | 253/10 |
Josh Hazlewood: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beau Webster: Dave Morton · Public domain
Roston Chase: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Usman Khawaja: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Nathan Lyon: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Travis Head: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Steve Smith: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Pat Cummins: SirWellsy99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mitchell Starc: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shai Hope: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Cameron Green: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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