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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
8 Jun 2025 · T20
St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury · Venue photographRecorded result
Hampshire started on 56%; Hampshire batted first.
Hampshire's chances ranged from 0% to 65% during the match (Kent: 35% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 8 Jun 2025, Hampshire played Kent at St Lawrence Ground, Canterbury. Recorded result: Kent won by 8 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.