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Photo: HLloyd8
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Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
Sophia Gardens, Cardiff · Venue photographRecorded result
Worcestershire started on 43%; Worcestershire batted first.
Worcestershire's chances ranged from 18% to 99% during the match (Glamorgan: 1% to 82%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kiran Carlsoncaught · Gareth Roderick · Tom Taylor3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Roderick · b Tom Taylor | 14 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 155.56 |
| William Smalecaught · Usama Mir · Beyers Swanepoel 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Usama Mir · b Beyers Swanepoel | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
| BI Kellawayrun out · Usama Mir 4 fours · 2 sixes | run out | 43 | 26 | 4 | 2 | 165.38 |
| Asa Tribecaught · Gareth Roderick · Beyers Swanepoel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Roderick · b Beyers Swanepoel | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 |
| lbw · b Usama Mir |
| 17 |
| 16 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 106.25 |
 Chris Cookebowled · Fateh Singh1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fateh Singh | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
| James Neeshamcaught · Usama Mir 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Usama Mir | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Daniel Douthwaitebowled · Fateh Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Fateh Singh | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
|---|
| Nathan McAndrewcaught · Beyers Swanepoel 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · b Beyers Swanepoel | 13 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 108.33 |
|---|
 Timm van der Gugtennot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Mason Cranecaught · Fateh Singh0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · b Fateh Singh | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Taylor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Beyers Swanepoel0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 12.00 | 4 | 0 |
 Ben Allison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 11.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Waite0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Usama Mir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Fateh Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 5.10 | 0 | 0 |
1-19 (Kiran Carlson, 2.1) · 2-46 (William Smale, 4.2) · 3-46 (Asa Tribe, 4.3) · 4-83 (Sean Dickson, 9.2) · 5-100 (BI Kellaway, 11.3) · 6-111 (James Neesham, 13.3) · 7-118 (Chris Cooke, 15.1) · 8-119 (Daniel Douthwaite, 15.4) · 9-135 (Nathan McAndrew, 18.1) · 10-146 (Mason Crane, 19.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 19/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 26/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 40/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 52/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 56/3 |
| 7 | 10 | 66/3 |
| 8 | 8 | 74/3 |
| 9 | 8 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 86/4 |
| 11 | 13 | 99/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 102/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 109/5 |
| 14 | 2 | 111/6 |
| 15 | 7 | 118/6 |
| 16 | 2 | 120/8 |
| 17 | 13 | 133/8 |
| 18 | 2 | 135/8 |
| 19 | 11 | 146/9 |
| 20 | 0 | 146/10 |
Mason Crane: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Kashif Ali: @Ahtasham.135 · CC BY 3.0
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ben Allison: Dave Morton · Public domain
Kiran Carlson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Waite: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sean Dickson: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Cooke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Timm van der Gugten: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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