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Asian Cricket Council Women's Premier Cup · 2023/24 · Women
11 Feb 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Hong Kong more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Hong Kong started on 81%; Hong Kong batted first.
Hong Kong's chances ranged from 81% to 100% during the match (Maldives: 0% to 19%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leen Luthufeebowled · Iqra Sahar 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Iqra Sahar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Nabaa Naseembowled · Chan Ka Man 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chan Ka Man | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Latsha Haleemathcaught · Kary Chan · M Bibi 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b M Bibi | 17 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 113.33 |
| Fathimath Malhacaught · MBA Lamplough · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · MBA Lamplough · b Kary Chan | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 15.00 |
| Sumayya Abdulnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 31 | 2 | 0 | 29.03 |
| Hawwa Shaaiqa |
| bowled · b M Bibi |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Sajaa Fathimathbowled · M Bibi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b M Bibi | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| Hafsaa Abdhullacaught · Kary Chan · Ruchitha Venkatesh 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kary Chan · b Ruchitha Venkatesh | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Aishath Meesa Rameezbowled · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kary Chan | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Shamma Alibowled · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kary Chan | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Hawwa Ifashabowled · Kary Chan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Kary Chan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iqra Sahar1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Chan Ka Man1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Kary Chan1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 |
| M Bibi1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1.33 | 3 | 0 |
| Ruchitha Venkatesh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 7.00 | 2 | 0 |
| MBA Lamplough0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
1-0 (Leen Luthufee, 0.1) · 2-5 (Nabaa Naseem, 1.1) · 3-21 (Fathimath Malha, 6.0) · 4-21 (Latsha Haleemath, 6.1) · 5-21 (Hawwa Shaaiqa, 7.0) · 6-28 (Sajaa Fathimath, 10.2) · 7-40 (Hafsaa Abdhulla, 12.0) · 8-50 (Aishath Meesa Rameez, 15.1) · 9-50 (Shamma Ali, 15.3) · 10-50 (Hawwa Ifasha, 15.4)
Recorded target: 223 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 5/2 |
| 3 | 1 | 6/2 |
| 4 | 10 | 16/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 21/3 |
| 7 | 0 | 21/5 |
| 8 | 0 | 21/5 |
| 9 | 2 | 23/5 |
| 10 | 5 | 28/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 31/6 |
| 12 | 9 | 40/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 42/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 46/7 |
| 15 | 4 | 50/7 |
| 16 | 0 | 50/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.