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Women's Continental Cup · 2026 · Women
29 Aug 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Isle of Man more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Isle of Man started on 60%; Isle of Man batted first.
Isle of Man's chances ranged from 61% to 100% during the match (Norway: 0% to 39%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AS Goradrun out · Lucy Barnett · Grace Cottier 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Lucy Barnett | 16 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 59.26 |
| Bijeyata Kumaricaught · Joanne Hicks · Lucy Barnett 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joanne Hicks · b Lucy Barnett | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| S Raveendrakumarcaught · Grace Cottier · Joanne Hicks 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grace Cottier · b Joanne Hicks | 24 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 82.76 |
| R Immadibowled · Grace Cottier 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Grace Cottier | 19 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 118.75 |
| Ayesha Hasanbowled · Isabella Clarke 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Isabella Clarke | 11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 137.50 |
| caught · Joanne Hicks · b Isabella Clarke |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 33.33 |
| VB Viyalanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 12* | 15 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Lopamudrabowled · Isabella Clarke 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Isabella Clarke | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mirab Razwannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 10 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 24 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Barnett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Georgina Ford0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 5.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Amelia Griffiths0 maidens · 13 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 13 | 0 |
| Joanne Hicks0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
| Grace Cottier0 maidens · 5 wides · 3 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 5 | 3 |
| Isabella Clarke0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-7 (Bijeyata Kumari, 2.3) · 2-65 (S Raveendrakumar, 10.3) · 3-75 (AS Gorad, 11.2) · 4-103 (Ayesha Hasan, 14.1) · 5-105 (Nayab Razwan, 14.5) · 6-109 (R Immadi, 15.5) · 7-112 (Lopamudra, 16.3)
Recorded target: 162 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 17/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 34/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 42/1 |
| 9 | 7 | 49/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 61/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 71/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 78/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 87/3 |
| 14 | 16 | 103/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 105/5 |
| 16 | 7 | 112/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 116/7 |
| 18 | 6 | 122/7 |
| 19 | 4 | 126/7 |
| 20 | 8 | 134/7 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.