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SEA Games Men's Twenty20 Cricket Competition · 2025/26 · Men
11 Dec 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Philippines more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Philippines started on 62%; Philippines batted first.
Philippines's chances ranged from 58% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 42%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanabowled · J Tuffin 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b J Tuffin | 14 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 127.27 |
| Dharma Kesumalbw · KDA Lukies 4 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b KDA Lukies | 19 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 146.15 |
| Gede Artacaught · Grant Russ · J Tuffin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Grant Russ · b J Tuffin | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kadek Gamantikacaught and bowled · J Tuffin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b J Tuffin | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Ketut Artawancaught · N Tanner · ASF Sirah 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · N Tanner · b ASF Sirah | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
| lbw · b Henry Tyler |
| 24 |
| 30 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Anjar Tadarusbowled · Henry Tyler 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Henry Tyler | 8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Danilson Hawoecaught and bowled · Henry Tyler 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Henry Tyler | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Dewa Wiswibowled · KDA Lukies 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b KDA Lukies | 9 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 69.23 |
|---|
| F Banunaeknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| RM Kodabowled · KDA Lukies 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b KDA Lukies | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JEA Doctora0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| J Tuffin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | 5.50 | 0 | 0 |
| KDA Lukies0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 3.39 | 0 | 0 |
| N Tanner0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 5.67 | 0 | 1 |
| ASF Sirah0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 5.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Henry Tyler0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-24 (Dharma Kesuma, 3.0) · 2-33 (Gede Arta, 3.5) · 3-38 (Gede Priandana, 5.2) · 4-39 (Kadek Gamantika, 6.0) · 5-56 (Ketut Artawan, 9.2) · 6-80 (Anjar Tadarus, 12.4) · 7-80 (Danilson Hawoe, 12.5) · 8-97 (Dewa Wiswi, 17.0) · 9-97 (Ahmad Ramdoni, 17.1) · 10-104 (RM Koda, 18.5)
Recorded target: 183 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 20/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 4 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 39/4 |
| 7 | 6 | 45/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 48/4 |
| 9 | 7 | 55/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 62/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 66/5 |
| 12 | 6 | 72/5 |
| 13 | 9 | 81/7 |
| 14 | 4 | 85/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 88/7 |
| 16 | 6 | 94/7 |
| 17 | 3 | 97/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 102/9 |
| 19 | 2 | 104/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.