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Photo: St Kitts & Nevis Government; permission: https://www.flickr.com/photos/skngov/14733563912
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Caribbean Premier League · 2025 · Men
14 Aug 2025 · T20
Warner Park, St Kitts · Venue photographRecorded result
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons started on 50%; Antigua and Barbuda Falcons batted first.
Antigua and Barbuda Falcons's chances ranged from 0% to 54% during the match (St Kitts and Nevis Patriots: 46% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
On 14 Aug 2025, Antigua and Barbuda Falcons played St Kitts and Nevis Patriots at Warner Park, St Kitts. Recorded result: St Kitts and Nevis Patriots won by 6 wickets.
Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.