Sunrisers HyderabadversusMumbai Indians

17 Apr 2025 · T20

Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Mumbai Indians won by 4 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs162/5 Mumbai Indians18.1 overs166/6 Wankhede Stadium, Mumbai ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 46%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 60% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 40% to 100%).

Biggest swings

7.3: HH Pandya to Abhishek Sharma, Abhishek Sharma out. Mumbai Indians up from 40% to 50%.
8.4: WG Jacks to Ishan Kishan, Ishan Kishan out. Mumbai Indians up from 47% to 55%.
2nd inns 3.5: PJ Cummins to RG Sharma, RG Sharma out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 20% to 29%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad162/5 Mumbai Indians166/6

Innings 1