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Photo: Commander Keane
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Bangladesh Women tour of Australia · 2026/27 · Women
14 Oct 2026 · ODI
Allan Border Field, Brisbane · Venue photographRecorded result
Australia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 3%; Bangladesh batted first.
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 4% during the match (Australia: 96% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Murshida Khatuncaught · Georgia Wareham · Megan Schutt0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Wareham · b Megan Schutt | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 12.50 |
| Sharmin Sultanacaught · Alana King · Megan Schutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alana King · b Megan Schutt | 6 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 28.57 |
 Sharmin Akhtercaught · Nicola Carey · Ellyse Perry8 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Ellyse Perry | 50 | 93 | 8 | 0 | 53.76 |
 Nigar Sultanacaught · Beth Mooney · Megan Schutt0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Beth Mooney |
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 3 |
| 14 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 21.43 |
| Sobhana Mostarycaught · Georgia Wareham · Megan Schutt 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Wareham · b Megan Schutt | 9 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Shorna Akterstumped · Beth Mooney · Annabel Sutherland 4 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Beth Mooney · b Annabel Sutherland | 54 | 71 | 4 | 0 | 76.06 |
|---|
| Ritu Monicaught · Ellyse Perry · Ashleigh Gardner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ellyse Perry · b Ashleigh Gardner | 9 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Rabeya Khanbowled · Alana King 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Alana King | 13 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 81.25 |
|---|
| Disha Biswasnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 26 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Habiba Islamcaught · Nicola Carey · Annabel Sutherland 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nicola Carey · b Annabel Sutherland | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Sultana Khatuncaught · Kim Garth · Ashleigh Gardner 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kim Garth · b Ashleigh Gardner | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 166.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megan Schutt5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 5 | 16 | 4 | 1.60 | 0 | 0 |
 Kim Garth1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 37 | 0 | 3.70 | 2 | 0 |
 Ashleigh Gardner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 0 | 49 | 2 | 4.98 | 0 | 0 |
 Nicola Carey0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Ellyse Perry0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Alana King0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 3.20 | 0 | 0 |
 Annabel Sutherland0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 4.17 | 2 | 0 |
1-6 (Murshida Khatun, 2.5) · 2-11 (Sharmin Sultana, 6.3) · 3-18 (Nigar Sultana, 9.0) · 4-45 (Sobhana Mostary, 16.5) · 5-99 (Sharmin Akhter, 33.1) · 6-115 (Ritu Moni, 37.4) · 7-142 (Rabeya Khan, 42.4) · 8-165 (Shorna Akter, 48.4) · 9-165 (Habiba Islam, 49.0) · 10-172 (Sultana Khatun, 49.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 6/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 5 | 0 | 6/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 11/1 |
| 7 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 15/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 18/3 |
| 10 | 5 | 23/3 |
| 11 | 0 | 23/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 25/3 |
| 13 | 4 | 29/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 31/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 39/3 |
| 17 | 6 | 45/4 |
| 18 | 1 | 46/4 |
| 19 | 0 | 46/4 |
| 20 | 9 | 55/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 60/4 |
| 22 | 7 | 67/4 |
| 23 | 1 | 68/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 69/4 |
| 25 | 4 | 73/4 |
| 26 | 1 | 74/4 |
| 27 | 9 | 83/4 |
| 28 | 3 | 86/4 |
| 29 | 3 | 89/4 |
| 30 | 3 | 92/4 |
| 31 | 5 | 97/4 |
| 32 | 1 | 98/4 |
| 33 | 1 | 99/4 |
| 34 | 2 | 101/5 |
| 35 | 2 | 103/5 |
| 36 | 7 | 110/5 |
| 37 | 5 | 115/5 |
| 38 | 2 | 117/6 |
| 39 | 4 | 121/6 |
| 40 | 6 | 127/6 |
| 41 | 7 | 134/6 |
| 42 | 3 | 137/6 |
| 43 | 5 | 142/7 |
| 44 | 5 | 147/7 |
| 45 | 2 | 149/7 |
| 46 | 2 | 151/7 |
| 47 | 4 | 155/7 |
| 48 | 7 | 162/7 |
| 49 | 3 | 165/9 |
| 50 | 7 | 172/10 |
Georgia Wareham: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tahlia McGrath: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sharmin Akhter: Digimarka · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nigar Sultana: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ellyse Perry: Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade · CC BY 4.0
Megan Schutt: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ashleigh Gardner: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Beth Mooney: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kim Garth: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Murshida Khatun: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Annabel Sutherland: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nicola Carey: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Georgia Voll: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alana King: Yu Chu Chin · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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