OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier · 2024/25 · Men
15 Dec 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Mexico more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Panama started on 40%; Panama batted first.
Panama's chances ranged from 23% to 100% during the match (Mexico: 0% to 78%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Praveen Santhanakrishnancaught · A Natubhai Ahir · AM Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · A Natubhai Ahir · b AM Patel | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Rupesh Kumar Singhcaught · Yusuf Ebrahim · AM Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Yusuf Ebrahim · b AM Patel | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| Luis Hermidacaught · RDB Ahir · DK Dahyabhai Ahir 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · RDB Ahir · b DK Dahyabhai Ahir | 26 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 81.25 |
| R Ankadlbw · DK Dahyabhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b DK Dahyabhai Ahir | 9 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 52.94 |
| PK Mohanarangamrun out · A Natubhai Ahir, P Suman Bhai Ahir · A Natubhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · A Natubhai Ahir, P Suman Bhai Ahir | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Shoaib Rafiqcaught · Yusuf Ebrahim · DK Dahyabhai Ahir 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Yusuf Ebrahim · b DK Dahyabhai Ahir | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| KB Patilrun out · P Jayeshbhai Patel, Sohel Ebrahim Desai · DK Dahyabhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Jayeshbhai Patel, Sohel Ebrahim Desai | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| R Poojarycaught · P Suman Bhai Ahir · RDB Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · P Suman Bhai Ahir · b RDB Ahir | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Shantanu Kavericaught · Sohel Ebrahim Desai · A Natubhai Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sohel Ebrahim Desai · b A Natubhai Ahir | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| DV Devjani Mutrejastumped · Sohel Ebrahim Desai · RDB Ahir 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Sohel Ebrahim Desai · b RDB Ahir | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Pratik Singh Baisnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AM Patel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 1 | 0 |
| RDB Ahir0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 4.13 | 1 | 0 |
| Irfan Hafejee0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Yusuf Ebrahim0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Natubhai Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| DK Dahyabhai Ahir0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (Praveen Santhanakrishnan, 0.4) · 2-13 (Rupesh Kumar Singh, 2.4) · 3-43 (R Ankad, 8.5) · 4-48 (Luis Hermida, 11.0) · 5-52 (PK Mohanarangam, 11.4) · 6-54 (KB Patil, 12.1) · 7-61 (Shoaib Rafiq, 12.5) · 8-62 (Shantanu Kaveri, 13.5) · 9-62 (R Poojary, 14.2) · 10-63 (DV Devjani Mutreja, 14.4)
Recorded target: 112 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 9/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 14/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 24/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 42/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 2 | 45/3 |
| 11 | 3 | 48/4 |
| 12 | 6 | 54/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 61/7 |
| 14 | 1 | 62/8 |
| 15 | 1 | 63/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.