Sunrisers HyderabadversusGujarat Titans

31 Mar 2024 · T20

Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Gujarat Titans won by 7 wickets

Sunrisers Hyderabad20.0 overs162/8 Gujarat Titans19.1 overs168/3 Motera Stadium, Ahmedabad ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Sunrisers Hyderabad started on 33%; Sunrisers Hyderabad batted first.

Sunrisers Hyderabad’s chance of winning (%) · Gujarat Titans is the rest

Sunrisers Hyderabad's chances ranged from 0% to 48% during the match (Gujarat Titans: 52% to 100%).

Biggest swings

4.2: Azmatullah Omarzai to MA Agarwal, MA Agarwal out. Gujarat Titans up from 55% to 65%.
2nd inns 4.1: Shahbaz Ahmed to WP Saha, WP Saha out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 16% to 26%.
2nd inns 9.1: M Markande to Shubman Gill, Shubman Gill out. Sunrisers Hyderabad up from 14% to 22%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Sunrisers Hyderabad162/8 Gujarat Titans168/3

Innings 1