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Quadrangular Twenty20 Series (Thailand) · 2025/26 · Men
25 Feb 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Bahrain more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bhutan started on 12%; Bhutan batted first.
Bhutan's chances ranged from 0% to 15% during the match (Bahrain: 85% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asif Alirun out · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji · Tashi Dorji 1 fours · 2 sixes | run out · Ranjung Mikyo Dorji | 26 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 104.00 |
| P Kurupcaught · Tenjin Rabgey · Tashi Phuntsho 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tenjin Rabgey · b Tashi Phuntsho | 13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 162.50 |
| Fiaz Ahmedcaught and bowled · Tashi Phuntsho 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Tashi Phuntsho | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
| Sohail Ahmedcaught · Tshering Tashi · Namgay Thinley 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tshering Tashi · b Namgay Thinley | 12 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Yasser Nazirlbw · Tashi Dorji 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tashi Dorji | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 55.56 |
| not out |
| 26* |
| 27 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 96.30 |
| Abdul Majeedbowled · Karma Dorji 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Karma Dorji | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ali Dawoodnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tashi Phuntsho0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 23 | 2 | 5.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Karma Dorji0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Sonam Yeshey0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Tashi Dorji0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 1 |
| Namgay Thinley0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 4.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-20 (P Kurup, 2.4) · 2-46 (Fiaz Ahmed, 6.5) · 3-47 (Asif Ali, 7.3) · 4-54 (Yasser Nazir, 9.1) · 5-81 (Sohail Ahmed, 14.5) · 6-82 (Abdul Majeed, 15.2)
Recorded target: 92 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 12 | 15/0 |
| 3 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 5 | 25/1 |
| 5 | 11 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 6 | 42/1 |
| 7 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 51/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 54/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 58/4 |
| 11 | 4 | 62/4 |
| 12 | 5 | 67/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 14 | 6 | 77/4 |
| 15 | 4 | 81/5 |
| 16 | 2 | 83/6 |
| 17 | 6 | 89/6 |
| 18 | 6 | 95/6 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.